Deadline week mailbag?

Hey folks...

Who's up for a playoff mailbag?

I'm looking for your questions, comments, rants and hypotheticals. Clever is good. Straight down the middle is good too, so don't feel like you have to steal the show if you'd rather ask something simple. Anything can work.

Send your stuff via email at dgbmailbag@gmail.com.

Thanks,
Sean

Who team should win the Conned Smythe award for worst trade with the Cup winner?

We’re down to four teams left in the playoffs, and longtime readers know what that means: It’s time to take a look at the field for one of the league’s most prestigious award, the Conned Smythe.

Yes, Conned. If you’re new to the concept, the Conned Smythe goes to the team that made the worst trade that had the biggest impact on each season’s eventual champion. Sometimes it’s a relatively obvious call, like when Flames fans watched the Panthers win Cups with Matthew Tkachuk and Sam Bennett, or when the Avs won in 2022 and the Conned went to the Maple Leafs for handing them Nazem Kadri. Other years, there are almost too many candidates for a given team.

We want to avoid feeling overwhelmed, so it’s smart to get organized now. Here are the ten teams that are in the best shape to win this year’s Conned Smythe, based on the trades they made with the conference finalists.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

Brady Tkachuk and Nikita Kucherov lead the 2026 NHL playoffs all-bust team

The NHL playoffs have been going on for over a month now, and I think I speak for everyone when I say that we’re very disappointed.

Not over everything, because a lot of this year’s postseason has been pretty fun. But we’re hockey fans, and we like to be cranky. And like every season, the playoffs give us plenty of opportunity to single out individual players for a disapproving head-shake or two.

Today, we’re making a team out of those guys. We’ll be building a full 21-man roster, which is to say 12 forwards, six blueliners and three goalies, because bad teams always need an extra option in net. As always, we’ll work with two key rules. First, no team can have more than three players, because we want to spread the love resentment. And second, all 16 playoff teams need to have at least one rep.

And yes, that rule also applies to the four teams that are still alive, meaning we’re virtually guaranteed to pick at least one player who immediately blows up and causes a flood of “this aged well” comments to come our way. That’s the risk we’re willing to take, because we do not learn from past mistakes around here.

Like all great teams, we’ll build from the net out.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

Who wins Game 7 tonight, the Sabres or Canadiens? Yes, obviously, and here's why

We’ve got a winner-take-all showdown tonight in Buffalo, as the most entertaining series of the second round concludes with a Game 7 that’s felt inevitable all along. The eyes of the hockey world will be focused on the KeyBank Center tonight, as fans feel the weight of suspense over who’ll win.

But they shouldn’t be. Because it’s pretty obvious.

I mean, the hockey gods aren’t even really trying to disguise the ending here. If you’ve been paying attention to this series, you know who’s going to win.

We’ll lay that case out today, although you should probably skip this post if you prefer to avoid spoilers. I’ll give you five reasons why the winner is so obvious, and by the end you may not even want to bother watching the game.

One small point of order: Because of our commitment to covering both sides of every story, it wouldn’t be fair to only list reasons for one team. So we’ll do both, if only out of an abundance of journalistic ethics. But it goes without saying that I only mean it for one team, and it should be obvious which one that is. (If you’re not sure, check with me after the game is over and I’ll be happy to tell you which side I was really on all along.)

Five reasons why the Habs are definitely winning tonight. And five more for the Sabres. The right answer is definitely in here somewhere.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

Building each team's best lineup of players who never won a Cup with them

It’s Friday, the second round is almost over, and there’s no hockey tonight. Let’s keep it simple with a time-killing roster game.

This one comes up surprisingly often from readers: Which team could build the best all-time lineup of players who never won a Cup for them?

Easy. Maybe a little too easy, since some teams are going to be a lot tougher than others. So today, we’ll tackle this question in three parts, nudging of the difficulty as we go.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

A brief history of the Maruk Trophy, a fake award for the MVP of early eliminations

Has a player from your favorite team ever won the Conn Smythe?

Probably not, because your team never wins anything, and the Conn Smythe is very much an award for winners. Even in those rare years where it goes to a player from the team that loses in the final, like Connor McDavid a few seasons ago, you’re still talking about somebody from a team that’s won three rounds. That’s a lot of winning. And since the Conn Smythe is the only playoff-specific award the NHL has, that means anyone whose team doesn’t win goes home empty-handed.

Until today. We’re adding a new award to our fake trophy case.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

All 12 Stanley Cup finals matchups left in play, ranked purely on narratives

You know what they say: When it comes to a hockey playoff series, all that matters is what happens on the ice. You wave away the distractions and noise and just focus on the games being played.

That’s what they say, because they are fools. It’s the playoffs. It’s all about the narrative, baby.

OK, I’ll acknowledge the slight possibility that my media background is shining through here, and not everyone cares about pre-built storylines quite as much as I’ve been trained to. But it’s my column, so today we’re doing narratives.

Specifically, we’re looking ahead to the various possible matchups we could see in the final. With the Flyers out, we’re down to 12 possible combinations of teams, and please don’t ask me long it took to figure that math out on my own without asking Dom.

Let’s look ahead to what June could bring, ranked from the least to the most enticing, based purely on the narratives that people like me will beat into the ground.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

NHL draft lottery hindsight fun: The games that we now know changed the outcome

The NHL draft lottery was this week, and the results were met with unanimous praise and approval. But what if things had been different?

Specifically, what if one game, or even one moment, from the 2025-26 season had played out just slightly differently? As it turns out, that can change everything. Because of the way the process works, and how the league hands out combinations to specific spots in the standings, any result that shifted those standings would also have ended up changing the lottery outcomes.

That’s the theory, at least. And it’s one we’ve had some fun with over the years, like the time that Patrik Stefan’s infamous open-net blooper ended up sending Patrick Kane to Chicago instead of Edmonton. Last year, we discovered that a random Sabres/Islanders game nobody even remembered ended up sending Matthew Schaefer to New York instead of Buffalo. That might turn out to be important someday.

We can’t do this every year, because sometimes the gaps between teams are wide enough that there’s no single game that works. For example, if the Canucks had won the lottery this year, we wouldn’t have been able to find a game that swung the (checks notes) 14-point gap between them and the next team.

But as you may have heard, the Canucks did not win the lottery. Instead, the lucky numbers belonged to the 28th-place Maple Leafs and the 24th-place Sharks. Bad news for Vancouver, but good news for us in the hindsight business, because it gives us plenty to work with.

As always, if you’re the sort of person who’s going to be bothered by the premise here, and think you might feel tempted to wade into the comments section and rant about butterfly effects and the concept of rational determinism, kindly go be a wet blanket somewhere else. For the rest of us, let’s find some moments that changed history.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

Your lottery team knows where their pick is now. Here’s why they should trade it

Last night saw the hockey world settle in to watch the NHL draft lottery, an annual event in which a collection of ping pong balls reward whichever franchise and its fans are found to be the most noble and pure of heart.

So now we know the NHL’s order for this June’s draft, pending any trades. And it really feels like we’re only saying that last part to be polite. It’s exceedingly rare to see a team trade a pick in the first half of the first round, at least once the lottery has come and gone and the pick order is locked in. And that’s especially true if you ignore trades where teams move up or down a few spots, like the Flyers moving up to 12th last year in a minor draft floor deal with the Penguins. As far as anything bigger, we might see a move every year or two, like last year’s Noah Dobson trade, or the Senators getting Alex DeBrincat in 2022. But it’s rare.

And that's a shame, because every lottery team should be open to trading their pick. Yes, all of them.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

NHL Draft Lottery power rankings: Who needs it, who deserves it, who passes the Leafs?

The draft lottery is tonight, with 15 teams vying to move up the order and the Canucks hoping to stay put in the one-spot. With separate lotteries for each of the first two picks, there are a number of ways this could all play out. Let’s dig into some of the possibilities, in our annual draft lottery power rankings.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

A brief history of the playoff penalty shot, suddenly the NHL's hottest new trend

Something weird happened in the NHL last week. And for a change, it was something fun.

Specifically, it happened four times: In Game 2 between the Flyers and Penguins last Monday, later that same night in Game 2 between Carolina and Ottawa, the next night in Game 2 between the Kings and Avalanche, and then again two nights later in Game 3 between the Sabres and Bruins.

Each of those games featured a penalty shot. That’s relatively rare in the playoffs. There have been only 94 postseason penalty shots in NHL history, an average of less than one per season. To have four in the same week? Almost unprecedented.

For you kids out there, a penalty shot used to be a big deal. Back in the days before the shootout came long and ruined everything diminished the play's novelty somewhat, a penalty shot would be big news. I still remember Peter Ing stopping Wayne Gretzky at Maple Leaf Gardens, which was the Leaf fan equivalent of Buster Douglas KOing Mike Tyson. If you’d ever held a stick, you knew what your penalty shot move would be. And you only had one, because they were so rare that that’s probably all you’d ever need.

To get the chance in the playoffs, with the eyes of the hockey world focused on you? Almost (but not quite) unheard of. So today, since NHL referees have apparently decided to revive the concept for this year’s postseason, let’s celebrate with a brief history of the playoff penalty shot.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

Your team is the best! (At this one very specific stat from the 2025-26 season)

Everybody’s good at something. It’s just a case of figuring out what.

Or at least, that’s how it was explained to me growing up. Granted, those explanations often came from coaches who were cutting me from the team, or concerned teachers whispering to my parents, or over the shoulder of horrified potential prom dates as they sprinted away from me. But the lesson stuck.

And it turns out that it applies to the NHL. Even in a league with 32 teams that range from model franchises to, um, not that, everyone is good at something. In fact, every team in the league is the very best at something. You just have to be willing to dig deep enough to find it.

Digging deep is kind of my whole schtick. So today, let’s go through each team and find at least one positive stat in which they led the entire league during the 2025-26 season.

Your team is the best… in this one extremely specific thing.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

Let's find three positive thoughts for each of the NHL’s 16 most hopeless teams

You think your team had a bad year. Are you positive?

You should be, because it’s time for our annual exercise in positivity. While half the league enjoys the playoffs, we’re going to look at the other half. For each team that missed the postseason, we’ll come up with three reasons to think positively.

It goes without saying that this is easier for some teams that for others. So we’ll do this countdown style, starting with the easiest team to feel good about and working our way down to the toughest sell of the bunch.

That means our first team should be easy. And as it turns out, it absolutely is.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

MLB's new ABS replay system is an apparent success. Could the NHL learn from it?

Here’s a sentence you’ve never seen me write before: Replay review is good.

It works. It’s doing what it’s supposed to do. I’m glad it’s there, because it’s making the game better.

Just not in the NHL.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

Playoff pressure rankings: Everyone wants to win, but who can’t afford to lose?

It’s the postseason, and the pressure is intense. But pressure comes in different forms for different teams in different circumstances. Some teams have regular pressure, while others have capital-P pressure. Some teams go all caps and break out the fancy fonts.

You get the picture. It’s time for our annual Playoff Pressure Rankings, where we count down from the teams that would prefer to win to those that have no other option.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

Old Guy Without a Cup rankings, 2026 edition: Narrowing down a stacked field

It’s OGWAC time, as we celebrate one of the best running subplots of any NHL postseason: The Old Guy Without a Cup. That grizzled veteran who's done it all over a long career, but has yet to get their name on the sport’s most hallowed trophy. Can they finally win the big one? Will they run out of time? Will they get the first pass from the team captain, and if so, will they cry? Will we all cry?

You know the drill. The greatest OGWAC story ever told was Ray Bourque back in 2001. Teemu Selanne’s was pretty great. So was Lanny McDonald way back in 1989. Then again, we’ve spent years pumping the tires of OGWAC legends like Joe Thornton and Joe Pavelski, and they never got their happy endings. Nothing is promised in OGWAC world.

Our criteria for being “old” remains the same as past years: An old player will be at least 33 years old when the Cup is awarded, and must have at least ten seasons of NHL experience. The older the better, and that’s especially true if the player has had some agonizing near-misses in their history. Ideally, our candidates will be playing an important role for a team with a legitimate shot at winning it all.

We’ll try to work in a candidate for as many teams as we can, and we’ll limit ourselves to a max of three picks from any individual team. We’ll start at 20 and work our way down to year’s best OGWAC.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

The 2026 NHL playoff bandwagon guide to all 15 teams that aren't the Sabres

It’s playoff time. For half the league’s fan bases, that means you already know what to do: Lay on the floor, rocking in the fetal position and hating everything in the world. Rinse and repeat, for roughly two to eight weeks.

The other half of us are jealous of you. That’s why some of us might be thinking about crossing a very controversial line, and hopping on the bandwagon of one of the playoff teams. Just a temporary fling, you know how it goes. Some of you would never consider it, of course. But if you would, you should at least choose wisely.

This year, it’s an easy choice: You should bandwagon the Buffalo Sabres.

Seriously, we’ve already been through this. The Sabres might be the single best bandwagon story of all-time, and when we asked their fans if they’d be OK with some outside support, they gave us an enthusiastic thumbs up. So it’s settled. This year’s bandwagon team is the Sabre, and we don’t need the annual guide to everyone else.

Unless… I mean, if everyone is bandwagoning the Sabres, isn’t that a reason to maybe look elsewhere? After all, we’re hockey fans – we can’t ever agree on anything. Not unanimously. That’s just not how this works.

So be it resolved: This year’s best bandwagon team is the Sabres. But we’re still going to do the annual guide, just in case anyone out there is feeling a bit contrarian. Buffalo takes top spot, for all the reason we laid out a few weeks ago. Today’s list is for the other 15 slots on the list.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

Enter the world's easiest NHL playoff prediction contest, with just one question

It’s playoff time, almost. The time of year when the best of the best rise to the top and prove that they have what it takes to win it all. The rest? They lose, sometimes dramatically and sometimes meekly, but either way they end up wondering what might have been.

I’m referring to you guys.

Yes, it’s time for our annual playoff contest, in which I ask you one simple question, and you send in your one-line answer. Then we wait. Then almost all of you get it wrong. Then I make fun of you.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

NHL weekend rankings: The top 16, Gold Plan standings, and my five worst calls

We made it. This is the final Weekend Rankings of the season. There’s still a couple of games left, and a few things still left to figure out over the next few days, but we’ll leave the final cleanup to the Friday guys. For our purposes, we’ve reached the finish line.

And if you’ve followed this feature over the years, you know what that means: Today’s the day you get an expanded Top 16, plus the Gold Plan standings down in the bottom five section.

But first, I’m going to be honest with you – I thought it would be a fun gimmick to use the Bonus Five section to go back and find my five dumbest rankings of the year. Nobody’s perfect, and you have to be able to laugh at yourself, or so I’ve been told. And sure enough, a quick look at the archives turns up more than a few weird calls. But when I dug a little deeper, I’m not sure I can really blame myself for some of those misfires. This season was just really, really weird.

Or at least, that’s the story I’m going to tell myself. You can decide if it sounds reasonable, as we did through the five rankings from the season that stand out with the full benefit of hindsight as being, um, not completely accurate.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

The Utah Mammoth are just five games away from making modern NHL history

I want to write this post, but I’m not sure I should.

More specifically, I’m not sure I should hit “publish” after I’m done. As I’m writing it, I’m not sure that I will. But since you’re reading this, apparently I talked myself into it. That might have been a terrible mistake.

I want to write about this, because I think it’s interesting, and finding interesting stuff in the hockey world and then sharing it with you is pretty much my entire job. But I feel like I shouldn’t, because I don’t want to jinx it. The psychological scars of my youth, spent watching way too many Dave Stieb near-miss no-hitters, still loom large.

Screw it, let’s do this.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

The best season a player on your favorite team ever had while missing the playoffs

If you’re team misses the playoffs, the season was a failure and there’s nothing to celebrate.

Or at least, that’s typically what fans are told, especially at this time of year. And often, it’s true enough. But not always, because even a season that doesn’t lead to a playoff run can still have its highlights. Like, for example, a player who puts together a season for the ages, despite all the losing.

That sort of success seems worth recognizing. So today’s assignment is simple: Let’s go through all 32 teams and highlight the single best season any player has ever had in a year where they still didn’t make the playoffs.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

NHL weekend rankings: Another coaching shocker rocks the East's pillow fight

The big news, for the second week in a row, is a shock coaching change. This time it’s the Islanders, with Patrick Roy being shown the door and Pete BeBoer taking over.

This kind of move needs its own section, so we’ll cover the Islanders in more depth down below. But first, three quick thoughts, which might be the same three thoughts you had when you first heard the news:

- Damn, Mathieu Darche is not messing around.

- This was tough news to hear for a whole lot of teams that thought DeBoer would be on their radar in a few weeks.

- Matthew Schaeffer, COACH KILLER?

- The latest “next coach fired odds” list sent to the media came out on Wednesday, and it had 13 names ahead of Roy. In other words, lots of coaches probably don’t want their phone to ring right now.

Way more on this to come down below. But first…

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

How to make sense of a nonsensical NHL season? Just follow the chain of blowouts

How do you know if one NHL team is better than another?

We used to thank that that was a relatively simple question. You could just look at the standings, and they’d tell you who was good and who wasn’t. That was kind of the standings page’s whole job. But that was before the league started handing out points for losing (or did they?), encouraging everyone to play for overtime during the regular season and basically making a team’s won-loss record all but useless on its own.

And that’s in a good year. This one? It’s chaos. One division is terrible, another how arguably the three best teams in the league, and a bunch of teams are going to get screwed by the playoff format. We’ve got teams we thought would be bad winning divisions, and teams we thought would win their division who are completely unwatchable, the two-time defending Cup champs are terrible, the reigning Presidents’ Trophy winner is even worse, and a contender just fired their coach with eight games left. The Blue Jackets are good, the Blues might still make the playoffs, and the Sabres are doing whatever it is they’re doing. And we’re supposed to be able to figure out which teams are better than others?

Well, yeah. And I think it’s simpler than we’re making it out to be.

We’re overthinking this. Because while the standings page might lie, the results on the ice don’t. Or at least, they don’t as long as you know where to look.

Here’s my proposal: Forget about the won-loss records, and just ask your self what happens when two teams take the ice.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

Eight critical questions the Leafs should ask the candidates to be their next GM

The Toronto Maple Leafs are in the market for a new GM, and probably a president too. I’m offering my services.

No, not for the jobs themselves. But I’m willing to act as a consultant for the interview process. Specifically, I’ve got a few questions that I’d love to see Keith Pelley and his hiring committee ask potential candidates before making a decision on who’ll lead this franchise into the future.

Normally I’d charge a hefty fee to a corporate client for this sort of insight, but given the critical importance hanging over the coming decisions, I’ll make it a freebie. As my gift to the team that’s brought me so much joy over the years, here’s are the eight questions I wouldn’t let a candidate leave an interview without asking.

I’ll skip the obvious ones, like “Rebuild or reload?” or “What should we do with Auston Matthews?” or “Who’s the coach?” Those are important, but even Pelley doesn’t need my help to come up with them. Let’s dig a little deeper.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

NHL weekend rankings: A stunning coaching change in Vegas shakes up the Pacific

Well, we didn’t see that one coming.

Maybe we should have, given that the Vegas Golden Knights don’t exactly have a reputation as a patient franchise. They’ve spent every year of their existence as aspiring Cup contenders, and they’ve made it clear that failure isn’t an option. Given how much failing they’ve been doing this year, maybe we should have expected yesterday’s bombshell, with John Tortorella replacing Bruce Cassidy as head coach with just eight games left to play.

What does it all mean? Let’s dig into it…

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

Ranking the 10 best opening round matchups that are still realistically in play

Did you catch another subtle sign of spring from the last few days? The NHL standings page added an “If Playoffs Started Today” link at the top of the page. And it doesn’t just go to a page that says “… it would be way too early, calm down”.

That’s because we’re almost there. There are just three weeks left in the NHL season, and while that’s plenty of time for teams to shift around the standings, it’s close enough to the playoffs that we can start thinking ahead to potential matchups. And as always, some are better than others.

Today, let’s have a look at some of those first-round matchups that are realistically in play, with a ranking of the 10 best. We’ll use the numbers from hockeystats.com, and limit our list to matchups with at least a 10% chance of happening (heading into last night’s games).

We’ll count them down, working our way to the best possible matchups, most of which of course will not happen because we’ll have jinxed it. We’ll get there, but let’s take this from the top…

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

How to watch the Maple Leafs (when the Maple Leafs aren't remotely worth watching)

For the first time in a decade, the Maple Leafs are playing out a stretch run with no playoff implications. While they haven’t been mathematically eliminated quite yet, the Leafs have been a dead team skating since the week after the Olympic break, when they vowed to make a late playoff push and then immediately face-planted to the tune of eight straight losses.

It’s over. This team stinks. Hello darkness my old friend, and all that.

But that’s the twist this time, because it’s been ten years since we’ve seen this story play out. Until the season ends, the Leafs still technically hold the league’s longest active postseason streak. Their fans haven’t had to endure a stretch run like this since 2015-16, the year the team flipped into tank mode down the stretch and was rewarded with Auston Matthews.

That means that there’s an entire cohort of young and/or new Maple Leaf fans who are in uncharted territory here. And they may not be sure how to handle it.

If that’s you, I have good news: There are plenty of crusty veterans like me who’ve been through this before. Oh, have we ever. There was a time when this kind of season used to be the Maple Leafs' whole thing.

We might be going back to those days. So today, let me help you doe-eyed newbies with a few tips. Gather round, kids, grandpa's got some advice. Let’s see how it long he can last before he just ends up rambling about Wendel Clark.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

NHL weekend rankings: The Pacific stinks, and other emerging storylines

It was an unusually busy weekend in the NHL, with 25 games meaning the majority of the league was in action twice. That gives us plenty to dig into, including some storylines that are getting hard to ignore.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

Buffalo might be the greatest bandwagon team ever. Sabres fans, do you want this?

Today’s column is based on a question that I’m genuinely curious about, and we’ll get to that in a minute. But let’s start with a few statements of fact, none of which should be in dispute.

Fact: The Sabres haven’t made the playoffs in 15 years.

Fact: That’s tied with the New York Jets for the longest streak in North American pro sports.

Fact: More impressively, it’s the longest drought in the 100+ year history of the NHL.

Fact: The drought is ending this year.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

NHL Cap Court: Do William Nylander or Adrian Kempe have bad contracts? Does anyone?

It’s been a while since we’ve broken out the Cap Court gimmick. The idea here is that we pick five players and try to figure out if they have bad contract from a team perspective. Too much money, too much term, that sort of thing. We make the case for and against, and find a few comparables to help us. Then we deliver a verdict.

Nice and simple. Or at least it’s supposed to be. But now that the salary cap’s upper limit is growing again, and growing quickly, does anyone have a bad contract anymore? Aside from the obvious misfires that nobody’s debating, just about every deal out there could be defended with a shrug and a mumbled “cap’s going up”.

It’s enough to make it tempting to hang a Sprit Halloween sign on the old cap courtroom. But this is still one of my favorite recurring bits, and we haven’t tried it all season. So let’s give it a shot. Five more names, five more contracts, and five more verdicts. Can we find a guilty verdict among them? We'll find out, and we'll start with one of the biggest names out there...

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

NHL weekend rankings: Which playoff bubble teams are facing the most pressure?

It’s mid-March, the Olympic break and trade deadline are in the rearview mirror, and the stretch run to the playoffs is well and truly on. Exactly on month from today, the NHL regular season will see its final night of action. Can you feel the pressure?

Probably. But how much pressure you feel might vary based on which teams you care about, because in the NHL, not all pressure is created equal. Every team wants to succeed. But there’s a difference between wanting and needing, and there’s a difference between playing with house money and going all-in with your last dollar.

So as we cross the threshold into the season’s final month, let’s have a look at the playoff bubble and rank the teams based purely on how much pressure they’re under to make it. We’re going to ignore the teams that are all but in, as well as the ones who’d need a miracle. That leaves about ten teams that are truly on fence. Here are the five that the most to lose if they, well, lose.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

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NHL Tank Index: Which bad teams are best positioned to boost their draft lottery odds?

We’re entering the stretch drive of the NHL regular season, and about a third of the league’s teams are already playing mostly meaningless games. Some of these fan bases are actively rooting for losses, so their teams have the best possible draft lottery odds of landing the No. 1 pick.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

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Every first-round pick from this year’s draft that's changed hands, ranked by regret

The first round of this year’s draft is going to take some work to keep track of. Last week’s deadline saw three trades involving first-rounders in this year’s draft alone. That brings the total number of picks that have changed hands from just that round to an even dozen, potentially, although some will depend on conditions.

Of course, not all of the teams involved in those moves would make them over again. So today, let’s get you caught up on which picks have moved while also turning this into a ranking of regret. We’ll go through all 12 picks, ranked from the ones whose former teams have no regrets at all to those where a team might like a do-over.

We’ll start with the least-regrettable of them all, which turns out not to be a very tough choice…

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

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NHL weekend rankings: The Caps, the Oilers, and a deadline of swings and misses

Well, that was a bit of a weird deadline. It wasn’t a bad one, although I’m not sure it will rank all that highly among the best of the best. It had some decent names, and at least one surprise that we’ll get to down below. It also had plenty of names that we were told to watch out for that didn’t end up going anywhere.

If you missed it over the week, you can get caught up here: Trade grades for all the big deals, the classic winners and losers, and grades for each team.

In theory, a deadline week’s worth of player movement should cause some churn in the rankings. In reality, the deadline was a reasonably quiet one. How does that all play out? We’ll find out in a bit, but first let’s lay the deadline to rest with a few final thoughts.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

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Lose-lose trades, potato GMs, gold medals vs. Stanley Cups, and more: DGB mailbag

Today is a slow news day in the hockey world, so let’s do a mailbag.

All I ask from you with these questions is three things: Ask about trade deadline stuff, keep it fun, and don’t get all weird on me. Can you guys handle that for an entire mailbag? Let’s find out.

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Should this team make a big deadline deal? (Spoiler: Yes, but they probably won't)

It’s trade deadline week. Should your favorite team do something big? Yes. Will they? Probably not.

That’s life in the NHL, a results-oriented league where the outcome is all that matters unless you’re a GM, in which case you’re allowed to mumble about your job being hard and everyone is supposed to feel sorry for you. These guys have only had four months to figure this stuff out since the season started, including two weeks off during the Olympics. Be reasonable.

Or don’t. Today, we’re going to give that option a try. We’ll pick a team and lay out the honest and yes, reasonable view for why they should play it safe and avoid any truly major moves. And then we’ll try to make the case for why they should break the mold and actually take a big swing.

We tried this last year, with all 32 teams. This year, we’re going to cut that list down. Some teams are obvious sellers who shouldn’t any convincing. Others will obviously buy. By my count, there are at least five scenarios that could see a team on the fence about a blockbuster.

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NHL weekend rankings: 5 post-Olympic break overreactions (unless they're not)

Welcome back to the NHL weekend rankings, returning after a three-week Olympic break. Aw, I missed you too.

Of course, those three weeks only contained a handful of NHL games for each team, so in theory our outlook on the league shouldn’t have changed too much. In theory, sure. But this is the real world, where half our job as fans is to overreact to anything and everything.

So today, before we get to the Top Five and Bottom Five, let’s first take a moment to pick a few teams and go way overboard based on their first few games back from the Olympic break.

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After Olympic gold, where does Connor Hellebuyck rank among history's best?

Connor Hellebuyck has had a good month. You might have heard about it.

The three-time Vezina winner and defending Hart Trophy winner as NHL MVP was the story of the story of Team USA’s gold medal win over Canada on Sunday, making 41 saves in a 2-1 OT win. It was the sort of signature game that a goaltender’s reputation can built on. After years of hearing about how he couldn’t win the big one, Hellebuyck went out and almost single-handedly won one of the biggest ones that there’s ever been. Then he became the first hockey player to earn the Presidential Medal of Freedom. And also, one of Frankie’s dudes.

Not bad. So now what?

That’s the question that comes up when a hockey history buff and a goaltending guru get together. So today, Sean McIndoe and Jesse Granger are teaming up to try to figure out where Hellebuyck stands in modern NHL history.

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Should the NHL learn from the Olympics and switch to a 3-2-1-0 standings format?

With the Olympics in the rearview mirror, we’re back to… what was it again? That league with all the teams and the six-month season? Right, the NHL, that was it. The NHL is back. Feel the excitement.

But while the Olympic tournament is over and some of us might be eager to move on, now might be a good time to wonder about whether the NHL could learn something from how the tournament was structured.

No, I don’t mean using 3-on-3 overtime to settle championships – fans around the world seem to agree that that part was bad. And I don’t mean the smaller rules that we debated last week in Rules Court. I’m thinking of an element you may have already forgotten about, since it was only in place for the round robin: Should the NHL borrow a page from the Olympics and move to a 3-2-1-0 points system?

That’s where teams receive three points for a regulation win, two points for an overtime/shootout win, one point for an overtime/shootout loss, and zero points for a regulation loss. Is that better than what we have now?

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A brief history of the Selanne Trophy, a fake award for best combined NHL/Olympics year

It’s been a while since we added anything to our fake trophy case. That’s where we store the Carson (for best sophomore season), the Bourque (for best final season), the Pollock (for best trade) and the Thornton (for best debut with a new team).

Today, we’re unveiling a new fake trophy, for the best combination NHL and Olympic performance in the same season. Please ooh and awe at the shiny new Teemu Selanne Trophy.

Selanne was a relatively easy choice for the honor of having the award named after him. After all, he’s the all-time leading scorer in Olympic hockey among NHLers, and it’s not all that close. He’d also been tied for the most points in any NHL-attended tournament until Connor McDavid broke the record this year. Oh, and when Selanne wasn’t dominating best-on-best, he found time to score nearly 700 NHL goals. He was good.

So our trophy for the best combination NHL/Olympic year will be the Selanne. We used the combo concept to build some all-time all-star teams a few weeks ago, but now we’re looking for single seasons.

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Ejections for fighting? 3-on-3 playoff overtime? Olympics rules court is in session

Welcome back to Rules Court, where we’re fixing the NHL, one new rule at a time.

Usually, that means considering your suggestions. But occasionally, we like to look elsewhere for inspiration, such as stealing ideas form other leagues. We’re doing that again today, because as you may have heard, there’s an international tournament going on. It’s called the Olympics, and the NHL was kind enough to send its players over for a change.

That NHL participation has meant that the rulebook used in the Olympics is almost identical to the one we all know and love. Almost, but not quite. As Pierre LeBrun reported last week, the “blended” approach to officiating still left a few differences between the IIHF and the NHL. And that got us wondering: Could the NHL learn something from international hockey?

Let’s see. Pierre’s article included nine differences between the two rulebooks. We’re going to put seven of them on trial today. (We cut the ones about switching ends for overtime and players losing their helmets during play, since they’re relatively minor and we don’t have a “meh” option for our rulings.) 

We convened the usual jurors – Sean Gentille, Shayna Goldman and Sean McIndoe – and cut-and-pasted Pierre’s description of the differences. If at least two of us approve the change, it becomes a new NHL rule, effective immediately. (Editor’s note: That’s not true.) (McIndoe’s note: OK, but it should be.)

While most hockey fans agree that the NHL is a perfectly run league with zero room for improvement, could we still find some inspiration from elsewhere? Let’s find out.

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Ranking the 14 potential Olympic men’s hockey gold medal matchups

With all 12 teams technically still alive in the Olympic men’s hockey tournament entering Tuesday’s qualification games, there are a huge number of possibilities ahead for the medal rounds.

As of this moment, however, there are only 14 gold-medal game matchups, however, that are plausible — which we’re defining as odds of 1 percent or greater.

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Weekend rankings, Olympic edition: Ghosts, bridesmaids, a fight and more

Welcome to the NHL weekend rankings, in which we don’t have an NHL to talk about.

You may have noticed that the league is on hold while some tournament is played over in Italy. It feels like it’s kind of a big deal. People seem to be enjoying it.

OK, so let’s go with the flow. It’s like the old cliché goes: When in Rome, or at least in the same country as Rome, do as every other hockey writer in the world is doing and serve up some Olympic hockey takes.

This week, we’ll take the rough format of the Weekend Rankings you know and love and/or tolerate, and use them for some men’s Olympic hockey observations. We’ll get to the good and bad, but let's start with a few stragglers I'm still working on.

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Let's waste your Friday by building some NHL Olympic all-star teams

 We’re finally watching Olympic best-on-best hockey for the first time in 12 years. And so far, it kind of rules.

The last time the league sent its players to an Olympics, I wrote a piece where I picked the ten best NHL Olympians. The idea was to weight both sides equally – NHL success, and Olympic success – and rank the best of the best. It's been so long that I’d completely forgotten about that piece, and only stumbled on it recently. And it kind of made me want to revisit it.

Of course, there’s a problem: All these years later, we don’t have much in the way of new information to work with. So clearly, another top ten won’t do. We have to do what we do best around here: Take something that should be simple, and make it more complicated for no good reason other than it seems fun.

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NHL weekend rankings: A blockbuster trade, a midseason rankings reset, and more

Let’s get you caught up on all the NHL action you missed over the weekend.

There wasn’t any.

Cool, good column. See you next time.

OK, we won’t wrap it up quite that quickly. But with most teams getting only a couple of games in since this time last week, don’t expect any major changes in the rankings.

Instead, let’s use this week as a bit of a reset and regroup before the rankings take a few weeks off. For example, now would be a good time to look at which teams have been on which lists so far this year.

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The long and surprisingly weird history of players scoring 8 points in a game

This weekend marks the 50th anniversary of Darryl Sittler’s legendary 10-point game. On February 7, 1976, Sittler scored six times and added four assists to power the Leafs to a win over the Bruins. With the feat coming on a nationally televised Hockey Night in Canada game, the record became a defining moment of 1970s hockey. The record still stands to this day.

Sittler’s record was recognized by the Maple Leafs during a ceremony last week, in the last home game before the anniversary. We dug into that record-breaking night in more detail that week’s newsletter, including an interesting bit of trivia: Not only has nobody ever matched Sittler’s 10 points, nobody in NHL history has even reached nine points in a game.

But while the ten-point club is exclusive and the nine-point club remains empty, the eight-point club is more crowded than you might think. There have been 15 eight-point games in NHL history, by a total of 12 different players. And let’s just say it’s an eclectic group.

On Sunday, we can celebrate Sittler’s night for the ages. But today, let’s recognize the 15 times that somebody has hit the eight-point mark, going chronologically from the first to the most recent.

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Remembering 10 stars who lost their best Olympic opportunity in 2018 and 2022

We’re about to hit a whole bunch of important Olympic milestones. The NHL break starts tomorrow night. The first preliminary round games are next Wednesday. The medal round starts two weeks from tomorrow. Construction on the arena should be finished shortly after that.

The point is, this happening. And that’s big, because as every hockey fan knows, the NHL hasn’t been to an Olympics since 2014.

That’s 12 years ago, which is a long wait for fans. But it’s also a big gap for the players – big enough that some legitimate stars have seen their peak come and go since the last time they had the opportunity to play on the world’ biggest stage. We’re talking about players who were almost certainly good enough to make an Olympic team, but just never got the chance.

Let’s recognize a few of those guys today.

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NHL weekend rankings: It’s not too early to imagine a dream first playoff round

We’re just hitting the two-thirds mark of the regular season. The Olympic break is days away, the trade deadline is still over a month away, and a million things can change between now and April.

Is it too early to start thinking about the playoffs?

Probably. But like a little kid noticing the Christmas decorations starting to go up in November, it’s OK to start looking ahead just a bit. And that feels especially true right now, when a peek at the standings hints at a first round that could be especially intriguing.

Most years, I end up writing a full column sometime in March on the best potential matchups that realistically in play. That’s still the plan this year, unless I forget, which is always a solid possibility. But this week, let’s fire off a preemptive strike, with a look at five of the best first-round matchups that we could be headed towards.

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I'm looking for your submissions to Nickname Court

As we know, modern NHL nicknames are terrible, with most of them either just being a player's name with an -er or -y ending tacked on, or something based on player initials that features zero creativity. Let's fix that.

How it works: Readers send in nicknames for players (or lines or pairings or whatever), and a small group of us rule on whether they were good or not.

We're be looking for either of two kinds of submissions: - Brand new nicknames that you came up with, or that are percolating in a fan base but haven't fully caught on yet - Actually nicknames that are in use but need a ruling on whether they work or not

I'd love to get some entries to mull over. Please be clear on where the nickname came from, if anywhere, and who it would apply to. Send your submissions to dgbmailbag@gmail.com and let's see where this goes.

NHL weekend rankings: Thoughts on the Penguins, Sharks, and an ugly weekend in Toronto

 The eyes of the hockey world were on Toronto this weekend. That’s not unusual, because it's the home of the league’s most important team and whenever they’re not on screen, all the other teams should be asking “Where are the Maple Leafs?” But this time, there were a few specific reasons.

The first was Mitch Marner, finally returning to Toronto for the first time since his summer departure to Last Vegas. On Sunday, it was a rare afternoon game, this one featuring a visit from the league’s best team. And both games took place against a backdrop of a season fading away, as the Leafs stumble their way towards an uninspiring playoff miss.

So how’d it go? I’m going to use my bonus five this week on an in-depth analysis of all the most important news from the Leafs’ weekend.

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Welcome back, traitor: Remembering six of the ugliest receptions for returning stars

It’s been a week of returns in the NHL. On Monday, we saw Jonathan Toews’ first game back in Chicago, returning to the city where we won three Cups as a visitor for the very first time. The fans gave him a hero’s welcome, the sort of outpouring of emotion you rarely see in the sports world. It was a collective “thank you” to a player who meant so much to a franchise and its fan base.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sJQTNxj0p3o

Tonight, Mitch Marner will return to Toronto, and the reception will be… not that.

We’re not quite sure what kind of welcome home Marner will get. No doubt, the team has prepared a sappy video for the first commercial break, because that’s the “classy” way to handle this stuff. Some fans will go along with the sentiment, others will be far more hostile, and manywill just want the whole thing to be over. When it comes to Marner’s exit, for some fans at least, it’s complicated.

Complicated, but not especially unique. So today, let’s remember six times that an NHL star returned home to a reception that was closer to Marner than Toews.

Some definitely deserved it, others maybe didn’t. But they all heard about it from their former fans, and it might give us some sense of what to expect in Toronto tonight. And we’ll even tack on the happy ending of reconciliation that most of these stories tend to get, if only to remind us that the Marners of the world are often welcomed back eventually. Often, but not always.

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Which goalie can build the best roster of guys who scored their first goal on him?

Today, we’re going to play a roster-building game based on a relatively straightforward question: Which goalie can make the best six-man team out of players who scored their first career goal against them?

That’s it. Nice and simple. But first, a few ground rules™:

- Each squad will be made up of three forwards, two defensemen and a goalie. Other than that, position won’t matter.

- The forwards and defensemen must have all scored their first career goals against the same goaltender. That goalie will then complete the roster, joining the guys who scored on him.

- Once they’re on the team, you’re getting the peak version of that player.

Before we start, let’s all tap sticks for reader Billy G., who not only sent me this idea, but also included a massive spreadsheet of relevant research. Folks, I can’t emphasize this strongly enough: My favorite readers are the ones who do all the work for me. Way to go Billy. You’re like the anti-Bryce.

We’re going to crank up stathead’s goal finder and build out a dozen rosters, and then turn it over to you in the comments to see if you can beat them.

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NHL weekend rankings: On the Bruins, the Flyers, and a sternly worded letter

Many times, an NHL season comes to be defined by the dominance of a select group. Sometimes, it’s the Year of the Goaltenders. Others, it might be the snipers who take over. In the first half, this looked like it would be a changing of the guard season. But now, a new contender emerges.

Hockey fans, welcome to the Year of the PR Department Statement.

It started last week, when the Senators declared war on the trolls and sick people. This week, it was the Ranger, doing what they do best: Writing open letters to their fans about how bad they are.

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Celebrate recycled coaches by taking our "Who Didn't He Coach For?" quiz

NHL teams sure do love to recycle coaches. Sure, you can always make the case for somebody with a fresh set of eyes and a different, maybe even more modern approach. But when a GM is choosing the hire that could make or break his team’s chances, the temptation to go with an experienced hand who’s been around the league will always be there.

We saw that this week in Columbus, where the Blue Jackets moved on from Dean Evason. They replaced him with 71-year-old veteran Rick Bowness, who’s been behind benches since the 1980s and is now making either his seventh or eighth stop as an NHL head coach (depending on whether you correctly believe that the Jets are the Jets.)

That many stints from one coach is rare, even in the NHL. But we’re used to seeing coaches get multiple chances to ply their trade. So today, let’s break out our favorite quiz gimmick – “Who didn’t he play for?” – and flip it around on the guys in suits.

I’ll give you 16 coaches, and four teams for each. Your job is to tell me: Who Didn’t He Coach For?

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We were right doubt to the Jets, and other midseason lessons from the prediction contest

One of my favorite posts of every year is the annual prediction contest, in which I give you ten simple questions about how the upcoming season will go, and you get them wrong.

I love that for us, for two reasons. First, it helps me feel better about all of my own bad predictions. (The New Jersey Devils: maybe not elite Cup contenders after all.) But more importantly, it’s a way to remind us all about just how unpredictable the NHL has become. It’s easy to look back at any given season after its over and shrug about how nothing was all that surprising. That gets a little tougher when you have over a thousand fans putting their predictions on the public record.

Will this season be another collective swing-and-miss? Probably, although we’re not there yet. But now that we’ve crossed the halfway point of the season, it feels like a good time to check in and see how we’re doing.

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NHL weekend rankings: The Senators, and other tales of Eastern Conference misery

Last week, I committed a grave violation of the eastern sportswriter protocol by talking about the Pacific Division. Specifically, how comically bad it was.

Apparently, some Eastern Conference teams were jealous. And like a toddler who hasn’t quite grasped the distinction between good attention and bad attention, they responded by making a nasty mess all over the floor. Is that chocolate? I really hope that’s chocolate.

OK, fair’s fair. Let’s talk about a few of the utter disasters unfolding

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Ranking the 10 best NHL matchups we haven't seen yet so far this season

We’re officially hallway through the NHL regular season schedule, and given that each team plays every other team at least twice, that means you might expect to have seen every possible matchup at least once by now. Of course, that’s now how the schedule works – things aren’t spread out quite so evenly, with some matchups frontloaded into the first few months and other making us wait.

For example, you could probably stump your friends by asking them to name the only two teams that have already played each other four times this season. That would be the Senators and the Bruins, two divisional rivals who’d already finished their entire season series by the holiday break. (If you use that in a bar bet and win a free beer, you have to send me a sip in the mail. I don’t make the rules.)

For today’s post, we’re going to look at the other extreme: The teams that have yet to face each other even once so far this season. By my count, there are 70 such pairings still on the table out of a possible 496, the vast majority of which are interconference tilts. Not all of those are exactly marquee matchups; I’m guessing there aren’t too many fans out there begging to see the Devils finally square off with the Kraken. But some of the pairings we haven’t seen yet are good ones, and today we’re going to rank them.

Here are my picks for the ten best matchups that the schedule has yet to offer us as the season heads into its second half.

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11 NHL teams riding statistical droughts that feel impossible but apparently aren’t

One of my favorite streaks in all of sports was in serious danger this weekend, but just barely survived: The Chicago Bears have still never had a 4,000-yard passer.

(Yes, I know you think you clicked on an NHL article. Don't worry, you did. We’re just going to use the NFL as a jumping off point. Give me a few paragraphs and we’ll get to the hockey, I promise.)

The thing about passing for 4,000 yards in an NFL season is that while it’s certainly not easy, it’s also not especially rare. Six players did it this year. Same with the year before. Ten did it the year before that, which was one off of the record for the most in a single season. All told, it’s a mark that’s been reached 238 times in league history.

Just never by a Chicago Bear. And that’s weird, because the Bears are one of the league’s oldest teams. But for a variety of reasons, ranging from injury to identity to (most often) ineptitude, they never seem to have a quarterback who can get to 4,000 yards. Even when they shuffled their way to a Super Bowl in 1985, they didn’t come close. This year, recent first overall pick Caleb Williams went into the season’s final game needing 270 yards to finally end the drought; he wound up with 212, good enough to break the franchise single-season record, but not to get to 4,000.

I love “never” stats like that – the ones that feel like they shouldn’t be possible over a long enough timeline, but somehow are. So today, let’s look back at 11 common stats and milestones that specific NHL teams have never hit, or in a few cases at least have an impossible-seeming drought hanging over them.

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NHL weekend rankings: On the Rangers, the Wings, and the awful Pacific Division

In a perfect world, I think the top five should have one team from each division. That’s not about spreading the hype or artificial parity. It’s just the reality of the current playoff format, where each division is virtually assured of sending one team to the final four. (The exception would be a crossover wildcard “winning” a division it wasn’t even in, which would be very funny but has sadly never happened. Yet.)

If our top five is about the long-term view, projecting ahead to an eventual Cup winner, that final four feels like it should be our starting point. And that means every division would ideally be represented. Remember, we’re not trying to figure out if a team is better than, say, the Wild. It’s about whether their Cup chances are higher, and not having to go through Dallas and Colorado to get to the conference final should count for something. Maybe even a lot.

All that said… I’m officially giving the Pacific Division a top five timeout.

I tried. I’ve spent the majority of the season with a Pacific rep in the top five somewhere – first with the Oilers way back in week one, and then with Vegas showing up eight times in the next 11 weeks. The division never went back-to-back without a top five team. Until now, because man, this division is a mess.

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