The NHL draft lottery was this week, and the results were met with unanimous praise and approval. But what if things had been different?
Specifically, what if one game, or even one moment, from the 2025-26 season had played out just slightly differently? As it turns out, that can change everything. Because of the way the process works, and how the league hands out combinations to specific spots in the standings, any result that shifted those standings would also have ended up changing the lottery outcomes.
That’s the theory, at least. And it’s one we’ve had some fun with over the years, like the time that Patrik Stefan’s infamous open-net blooper ended up sending Patrick Kane to Chicago instead of Edmonton. Last year, we discovered that a random Sabres/Islanders game nobody even remembered ended up sending Matthew Schaefer to New York instead of Buffalo. That might turn out to be important someday.
We can’t do this every year, because sometimes the gaps between teams are wide enough that there’s no single game that works. For example, if the Canucks had won the lottery this year, we wouldn’t have been able to find a game that swung the (checks notes) 14-point gap between them and the next team.
But as you may have heard, the Canucks did not win the lottery. Instead, the lucky numbers belonged to the 28th-place Maple Leafs and the 24th-place Sharks. Bad news for Vancouver, but good news for us in the hindsight business, because it gives us plenty to work with.
As always, if you’re the sort of person who’s going to be bothered by the premise here, and think you might feel tempted to wade into the comments section and rant about butterfly effects and the concept of rational determinism, kindly go be a wet blanket somewhere else. For the rest of us, let’s find some moments that changed history.











