NHL weekend rankings: A stunning coaching change in Vegas shakes up the Pacific

Well, we didn’t see that one coming.

Maybe we should have, given that the Vegas Golden Knights don’t exactly have a reputation as a patient franchise. They’ve spent every year of their existence as aspiring Cup contenders, and they’ve made it clear that failure isn’t an option. Given how much failing they’ve been doing this year, maybe we should have expected yesterday’s bombshell, with John Tortorella replacing Bruce Cassidy as head coach with just eight games left to play.

What does it all mean? Let’s dig into it…

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

Ranking the 10 best opening round matchups that are still realistically in play

Did you catch another subtle sign of spring from the last few days? The NHL standings page added an “If Playoffs Started Today” link at the top of the page. And it doesn’t just go to a page that says “… it would be way too early, calm down”.

That’s because we’re almost there. There are just three weeks left in the NHL season, and while that’s plenty of time for teams to shift around the standings, it’s close enough to the playoffs that we can start thinking ahead to potential matchups. And as always, some are better than others.

Today, let’s have a look at some of those first-round matchups that are realistically in play, with a ranking of the 10 best. We’ll use the numbers from hockeystats.com, and limit our list to matchups with at least a 10% chance of happening (heading into last night’s games).

We’ll count them down, working our way to the best possible matchups, most of which of course will not happen because we’ll have jinxed it. We’ll get there, but let’s take this from the top…

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

How to watch the Maple Leafs (when the Maple Leafs aren't remotely worth watching)

For the first time in a decade, the Maple Leafs are playing out a stretch run with no playoff implications. While they haven’t been mathematically eliminated quite yet, the Leafs have been a dead team skating since the week after the Olympic break, when they vowed to make a late playoff push and then immediately face-planted to the tune of eight straight losses.

It’s over. This team stinks. Hello darkness my old friend, and all that.

But that’s the twist this time, because it’s been ten years since we’ve seen this story play out. Until the season ends, the Leafs still technically hold the league’s longest active postseason streak. Their fans haven’t had to endure a stretch run like this since 2015-16, the year the team flipped into tank mode down the stretch and was rewarded with Auston Matthews.

That means that there’s an entire cohort of young and/or new Maple Leaf fans who are in uncharted territory here. And they may not be sure how to handle it.

If that’s you, I have good news: There are plenty of crusty veterans like me who’ve been through this before. Oh, have we ever. There was a time when this kind of season used to be the Maple Leafs' whole thing.

We might be going back to those days. So today, let me help you doe-eyed newbies with a few tips. Gather round, kids, grandpa's got some advice. Let’s see how it long he can last before he just ends up rambling about Wendel Clark.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

NHL weekend rankings: The Pacific stinks, and other emerging storylines

It was an unusually busy weekend in the NHL, with 25 games meaning the majority of the league was in action twice. That gives us plenty to dig into, including some storylines that are getting hard to ignore.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

Buffalo might be the greatest bandwagon team ever. Sabres fans, do you want this?

Today’s column is based on a question that I’m genuinely curious about, and we’ll get to that in a minute. But let’s start with a few statements of fact, none of which should be in dispute.

Fact: The Sabres haven’t made the playoffs in 15 years.

Fact: That’s tied with the New York Jets for the longest streak in North American pro sports.

Fact: More impressively, it’s the longest drought in the 100+ year history of the NHL.

Fact: The drought is ending this year.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

NHL Cap Court: Do William Nylander or Adrian Kempe have bad contracts? Does anyone?

It’s been a while since we’ve broken out the Cap Court gimmick. The idea here is that we pick five players and try to figure out if they have bad contract from a team perspective. Too much money, too much term, that sort of thing. We make the case for and against, and find a few comparables to help us. Then we deliver a verdict.

Nice and simple. Or at least it’s supposed to be. But now that the salary cap’s upper limit is growing again, and growing quickly, does anyone have a bad contract anymore? Aside from the obvious misfires that nobody’s debating, just about every deal out there could be defended with a shrug and a mumbled “cap’s going up”.

It’s enough to make it tempting to hang a Sprit Halloween sign on the old cap courtroom. But this is still one of my favorite recurring bits, and we haven’t tried it all season. So let’s give it a shot. Five more names, five more contracts, and five more verdicts. Can we find a guilty verdict among them? We'll find out, and we'll start with one of the biggest names out there...

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

NHL weekend rankings: Which playoff bubble teams are facing the most pressure?

It’s mid-March, the Olympic break and trade deadline are in the rearview mirror, and the stretch run to the playoffs is well and truly on. Exactly on month from today, the NHL regular season will see its final night of action. Can you feel the pressure?

Probably. But how much pressure you feel might vary based on which teams you care about, because in the NHL, not all pressure is created equal. Every team wants to succeed. But there’s a difference between wanting and needing, and there’s a difference between playing with house money and going all-in with your last dollar.

So as we cross the threshold into the season’s final month, let’s have a look at the playoff bubble and rank the teams based purely on how much pressure they’re under to make it. We’re going to ignore the teams that are all but in, as well as the ones who’d need a miracle. That leaves about ten teams that are truly on fence. Here are the five that the most to lose if they, well, lose.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

(Want to read this post on The Athletic for free? Sign up for a free trial.)

NHL Tank Index: Which bad teams are best positioned to boost their draft lottery odds?

We’re entering the stretch drive of the NHL regular season, and about a third of the league’s teams are already playing mostly meaningless games. Some of these fan bases are actively rooting for losses, so their teams have the best possible draft lottery odds of landing the No. 1 pick.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

(Want to read this post on The Athletic for free? Sign up for a free trial.)

Every first-round pick from this year’s draft that's changed hands, ranked by regret

The first round of this year’s draft is going to take some work to keep track of. Last week’s deadline saw three trades involving first-rounders in this year’s draft alone. That brings the total number of picks that have changed hands from just that round to an even dozen, potentially, although some will depend on conditions.

Of course, not all of the teams involved in those moves would make them over again. So today, let’s get you caught up on which picks have moved while also turning this into a ranking of regret. We’ll go through all 12 picks, ranked from the ones whose former teams have no regrets at all to those where a team might like a do-over.

We’ll start with the least-regrettable of them all, which turns out not to be a very tough choice…

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

(Want to read this post on The Athletic for free? Sign up for a free trial.)

NHL weekend rankings: The Caps, the Oilers, and a deadline of swings and misses

Well, that was a bit of a weird deadline. It wasn’t a bad one, although I’m not sure it will rank all that highly among the best of the best. It had some decent names, and at least one surprise that we’ll get to down below. It also had plenty of names that we were told to watch out for that didn’t end up going anywhere.

If you missed it over the week, you can get caught up here: Trade grades for all the big deals, the classic winners and losers, and grades for each team.

In theory, a deadline week’s worth of player movement should cause some churn in the rankings. In reality, the deadline was a reasonably quiet one. How does that all play out? We’ll find out in a bit, but first let’s lay the deadline to rest with a few final thoughts.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

(Want to read this post on The Athletic for free? Sign up for a free trial.)

Lose-lose trades, potato GMs, gold medals vs. Stanley Cups, and more: DGB mailbag

Today is a slow news day in the hockey world, so let’s do a mailbag.

All I ask from you with these questions is three things: Ask about trade deadline stuff, keep it fun, and don’t get all weird on me. Can you guys handle that for an entire mailbag? Let’s find out.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

(Want to read this post on The Athletic for free? Sign up for a free trial.)

Should this team make a big deadline deal? (Spoiler: Yes, but they probably won't)

It’s trade deadline week. Should your favorite team do something big? Yes. Will they? Probably not.

That’s life in the NHL, a results-oriented league where the outcome is all that matters unless you’re a GM, in which case you’re allowed to mumble about your job being hard and everyone is supposed to feel sorry for you. These guys have only had four months to figure this stuff out since the season started, including two weeks off during the Olympics. Be reasonable.

Or don’t. Today, we’re going to give that option a try. We’ll pick a team and lay out the honest and yes, reasonable view for why they should play it safe and avoid any truly major moves. And then we’ll try to make the case for why they should break the mold and actually take a big swing.

We tried this last year, with all 32 teams. This year, we’re going to cut that list down. Some teams are obvious sellers who shouldn’t any convincing. Others will obviously buy. By my count, there are at least five scenarios that could see a team on the fence about a blockbuster.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

(Want to read this post on The Athletic for free? Sign up for a free trial.)

NHL weekend rankings: 5 post-Olympic break overreactions (unless they're not)

Welcome back to the NHL weekend rankings, returning after a three-week Olympic break. Aw, I missed you too.

Of course, those three weeks only contained a handful of NHL games for each team, so in theory our outlook on the league shouldn’t have changed too much. In theory, sure. But this is the real world, where half our job as fans is to overreact to anything and everything.

So today, before we get to the Top Five and Bottom Five, let’s first take a moment to pick a few teams and go way overboard based on their first few games back from the Olympic break.

>> Read the full post at The Athletic

(Want to read this post on The Athletic for free? Sign up for a free trial.)

Deadline week mailbag?

Hey folks...

The trade deadline is this week, so let's try a mailbag.

I'm looking for your questions, comments, rants and hypotheticals. Trade talk/speculation/proposals are fun, although remember this won't run until deadline day.

Clever is good. Straight down the middle is good too, so don't feel like you have to steal the show if you'd rather ask something simple. Anything can work.

Send your stuff via email at dgbmailbag@gmail.com.

Thanks,
Sean